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Offline Marketing and Online Gambling Is there a future in the industry? I-Gaming: Profitability, Regulation, and Capital Markets Effective Online Customer Acquisition Strategies Through ARCADE GAMES – an extension to your skill games portfolio Skill Gaming Opportunities in the U.S. Forming strategic partnerships The first thing we look for is how a target Copper and Glass: Changing Alderney’s Landscape Currently there are four very strong poker networks Malta: at odds with French P.M.U There has been concern at the lack of government Poker and the Law: Is it a Game of Skill or Chance?
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Is there a future in the industry? As an analyst following the online gaming industry I am regularly confronted with the following remark, “The boom in online gaming stocks is no different to the internet boom and bust at the turn of the century”. “Not true” I say, “The leading online gaming companies generate substantial profits and cashflow” and I then proceed to reel off an array of impressive performance metrics that have been continually served up by the likes of Sportingbet. Undeterred, the sceptic attacks with “Ah, but it’s a fad isn’t it?” I’£ be honest with you, for a fleeting moment on 6 September 2005 when PartyGaming warned of slower-than-expected growth, which triggered a wholesale collapse in the value of online gaming shares, I almost agreed. However, I referred to the cold hard facts, and logic kicked-in again.
So even if the size of the overall gambling market does not grow – which is in itself a pessimistic scenario – surely even the most hardened skeptics will agree that the general increase in broadbrand penetration, consumers’ rising comfort with transacting online and the emergence of new electronic delivery channels such as wireless (which could unlock the potentially huge Chinese market ) should lead to growth in online gambling for some years to come. Furthermore, the best gambling operators, online or offline, provide great entertainment and as incomes rise, people spend an increasing amount of their wealth on leisure and entertainment services. Gambling also provides a valuable source of revenue for Government enabling them to fund vote-winning increases on public services or decreases in personal taxes. In short, there are several powerful and indisputable macro drivers at work.
In our view, the winners in this market have already been born and new entrants will struggle. The financial marketing muscle required to create a brand from scratch is becoming ever more prohinitive especially when you consider that PartyGaming is likely to spend in excess of $ 100m on pure marketing (excluding bonuses) next year. In this environment, we are not surprised to see an increasing number of casualties who have struggled to reach the required critical mass of customers to justify the fized costs of investment. New openings appeal to have slowed dramatically as well. A shake out of the weakest players is one quality that the online gaming market does indeed share with the internet bust. The tempering of the stock market’s love affair with online gaming stocks and the dwindling prospects of an IPO windfall for private operators should lead to more orderly and rationally behavior and the days of 100% matching cash bonuses should soon be behind us. In conclusion. Mr Sceptic is right not to blindly support all online gaming stocks. Yes, growth prospects are bright, however the spoils will not be divided equally. |
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